Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.194342 0.224937 0.258756 0.298910 0.345295 0.397203 0.459723
2025-09-14 0.141387 0.181061 0.229471 0.292894 0.373840 0.473774 0.606673
2025-09-21 0.114030 0.156646 0.212337 0.290458 0.397311 0.538527 0.739702
2025-09-28 0.097218 0.141424 0.202515 0.293126 0.424264 0.607478 0.883559
2025-10-05 0.088212 0.134850 0.202501 0.307807 0.467858 0.702485 1.073670
2025-10-12 0.079888 0.127669 0.200046 0.317688 0.504488 0.790374 1.262782
2025-10-19 0.072603 0.120828 0.196824 0.325325 0.537690 0.875726 1.456978
2025-10-26 0.065584 0.113323 0.191360 0.328228 0.562951 0.950422 1.641685
2025-11-02 0.058446 0.104601 0.182676 0.324383 0.575971 1.005662 1.799144
2025-11-09 0.051261 0.094833 0.170959 0.313662 0.575434 1.037099 1.917816
2025-11-16 0.047737 0.091135 0.169316 0.320430 0.606355 1.126206 2.149009
2025-11-23 0.043891 0.086341 0.165080 0.321786 0.627184 1.198786 2.356999
2025-11-30 0.040742 0.082585 0.162494 0.326243 0.654931 1.288224 2.609754
2025-12-07 0.036637 0.076463 0.154716 0.319701 0.660539 1.336062 2.786723
2025-12-14 0.033450 0.071800 0.149240 0.317042 0.673430 1.399224 3.001426
2025-12-21 0.031170 0.068744 0.146642 0.319954 0.698001 1.488342 3.280070
2025-12-28 0.030304 0.068606 0.150063 0.335979 0.752120 1.644406 3.719948
2026-01-04 0.029026 0.067401 0.151054 0.346764 0.795916 1.782905 4.136682
2026-01-11 0.027645 0.065795 0.150974 0.355100 0.835075 1.915213 4.554236
2026-01-18 0.025993 0.063363 0.148766 0.358268 0.862650 2.024304 4.930090
2026-01-25 0.023984 0.059845 0.143680 0.354072 0.872375 2.093315 5.218241
2026-02-01 0.021689 0.055364 0.135850 0.342370 0.862673 2.115578 5.394852
2026-02-08 0.020755 0.054169 0.135776 0.349757 0.900782 2.256446 5.882981